Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000192 0.000213 0.000234 0.000260 0.000288 0.000318 0.000354
2025-10-12 0.000156 0.000185 0.000220 0.000263 0.000317 0.000380 0.000462
2025-10-19 0.000131 0.000164 0.000206 0.000261 0.000334 0.000427 0.000556
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000151 0.000198 0.000263 0.000354 0.000477 0.000660
2025-11-02 0.000102 0.000139 0.000188 0.000260 0.000365 0.000515 0.000749
2025-11-09 0.000092 0.000129 0.000181 0.000259 0.000378 0.000556 0.000849
2025-11-16 0.000083 0.000120 0.000172 0.000255 0.000385 0.000588 0.000937
2025-11-23 0.000075 0.000111 0.000163 0.000248 0.000387 0.000611 0.001012
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000107 0.000161 0.000252 0.000406 0.000662 0.001144
2025-12-07 0.000067 0.000103 0.000160 0.000257 0.000426 0.000720 0.001294
2025-12-14 0.000062 0.000097 0.000153 0.000252 0.000429 0.000745 0.001387
2025-12-21 0.000056 0.000090 0.000144 0.000242 0.000422 0.000753 0.001447
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000087 0.000143 0.000247 0.000443 0.000816 0.001631
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000085 0.000142 0.000251 0.000464 0.000883 0.001839
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000081 0.000138 0.000249 0.000472 0.000927 0.002004
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000078 0.000136 0.000251 0.000489 0.000990 0.002226
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000074 0.000131 0.000248 0.000495 0.001030 0.002398
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000071 0.000128 0.000247 0.000506 0.001083 0.002614
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000068 0.000124 0.000243 0.000508 0.001117 0.002789
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000064 0.000119 0.000237 0.000505 0.001137 0.002929
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000063 0.000118 0.000241 0.000526 0.001217 0.003253
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000062 0.000118 0.000246 0.000549 0.001308 0.003631
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000059 0.000114 0.000241 0.000548 0.001337 0.003825